Higher Sugar Availability Globally, Ethanol Production increased

18-Nov-2025 10:22 AM

★ The International Sugar Organization (ISO) has projected a global sugar surplus of 1.6 million tonnes for 2025–26, higher than last year. The deficit for 2024–25 has ★ also narrowed to 2.92 million tonnes due to better production.

★ For 2025–26, global sugar production is estimated at 181.8 million tonnes, while consumption is expected to reach 180.1 million tonnes. Production is likely to increase in India, Thailand, and Pakistan.

★ Global trade is expected to remain nearly stable—exports are estimated at 64.7 million tonnes and imports may decline slightly.

★ Ending stocks for the season are projected at 95 million tonnes.

Ethanol:

★ Global ethanol production in 2025 is estimated at 122 billion litres, up 2.3% from last year.

★ Production in the US is expected to hit a record 61.45 billion litres, Brazil may see a decline to 33.34 billion litres, and India’s output could rise from 7.34 to 10.5 billion litres.

★ More than 60% of India’s ethanol output is grain-based.

Overall, higher production is improving global availability, putting pressure on international markets.

★ Recently, the Indian government approved the export of 1.5 million tonnes of sugar; however, India has only until April to ship it.

★ From April, Brazil’s new sugar season begins.