Global Sugar Deficit Pegged at Just 2.31 Lakh Tonnes

30-Aug-2025 04:20 PM

Mumbai. The International Sugar Organization (ISO) has significantly reduced the estimate of global sugar shortage during the 2025-26 marketing season (October-September) to just 2.31 lakh tonnes, which is much less than the 2024-25 season figure of 48 lakh tonnes.

According to ISO, sugar production may be 2.31 lakh tonnes less than global consumption in the 2025-26 season. According to ISO, this shortage of sugar can be considered negligible or minor before the start of the new marketing season. This is ISO's first estimate for the 2025-26 season.

The organization has estimated the global production of sugar to increase by 3 percent to 1806 lakh tonnes during the 2025-26 season as compared to 2024-25. Under this, sugar production is expected to increase especially in Asian countries like India, Thailand and Pakistan. Similarly, global consumption of sugar is estimated to reach 1808 lakh tonnes with an increase of 0.4 percent.

According to the ISO report, the global trade of sugar is expected to remain almost stable. In the marketing season of 2025-26, the global export business of 639 lakh tonnes of sugar can be done while the demand for its import is likely to be 637.60 lakh tonnes. In this way, there will be a slight difference in the level of import-export and there will be negligible surplus in the exportable stock.

The organization has expressed the possibility of the global market price of sugar to remain largely stable and sometimes rise during the next three months.

In fact, the effect of a huge increase in the use of sugar as compared to production in the 2024-25 season and the reduction in global stock due to its effect may remain on the market for some time.

When the availability of goods of the new season increases, then there may be a change in prices. India will be watched closely because if there is a substantial increase in production, the government may consider allowing sugar exports on demand from the industry.