Kalonji production more than last year but outstanding stock less

28-Feb-2025 06:51 PM

The production of Kalonji (Nigella) in India during the current season is expected to be higher than last year. Several factors contribute to this increase, including more land being dedicated to Kalonji cultivation, especially in Gujarat, where the sowing area has nearly doubled. Additionally, favorable weather conditions have led to the anticipation of better crop yields and quality, with improved per-hectare productivity expected in the coming March harvest.

Key Points:

  • Increased Production: Kalonji production estimates for 2025 are around 3 lakh quintals, which is significantly higher than the 2024 estimate of 2-2.25 lakh quintals. However, it still falls short of the 2023 production of 3.74-4 lakh quintals.

  • Regional Production:

    • Madhya Pradesh: Expected to produce about 1.40 to 1.50 lakh quintals.
    • Gujarat: Estimated to produce around 1 lakh quintals (with increased sowing).
    • Rajasthan: Expected to contribute 50 to 60 thousand quintals.

  • Price Trends:

    • Despite higher production, the lower outstanding stock has led to an increase in Kalonji prices. Prices have risen by 5-8 rupees per kg, and as of the current week, Kalonji is trading at around Rs 180-182 per kg in Neemuch Mandi of Madhya Pradesh.
    • The market is expected to remain strong until the arrival of new goods post-Holi, with the potential for a short-term price drop in April when new arrivals hit the markets. However, the overall availability will remain tight, so prices may not drop significantly.

  • Consumption vs. Availability:

    • India's annual Kalonji consumption is around 4 lakh quintals.
    • This year, total availability (combining new production and leftover stock) will be around 3.5 lakh quintals, leading to a supply shortfall.

  • Historical Context: Kalonji prices peaked in 2014-15 at Rs 300-310 per kg, a record high.

In conclusion, despite the increase in production, the lower outstanding stock and relatively higher consumption are likely to keep Kalonji prices elevated for the time being, with a brief fluctuation expected after new arrivals

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