Rising temperature is not beneficial for wheat crop

10-Feb-2025 08:42 PM

The rising temperatures in major wheat-producing states like Uttar Pradesh, Madhya Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan are indeed a concern, particularly during this critical phase of the wheat crop's growth, which involves flowering and grain formation.

High temperatures, especially strong sunlight, can negatively affect the development of the wheat plants, potentially leading to fewer grains and lower quality.

This situation could jeopardize the Central Government’s target of achieving a record 1150 lakh tonnes of domestic wheat production for the 2024-25 season.

The Meteorological Department’s forecast of possible rain and hailstorms due to the Western Disturbance could provide temporary relief, but the short duration and limited coverage might not be enough to offset the adverse effects of prolonged heat.

The key factor now will be whether the weather remains conducive for wheat growth in the coming weeks. A lack of cool nights and continued high daytime temperatures could further impact the crop’s yield.

While the sowing area has increased, making the target of 1150 lakh tonnes achievable, this warm weather is posing a significant challenge.

The government’s estimated wheat production for the 2023-24 season was around 1133 lakh tonnes, but trade estimates suggest a more modest figure of 1000-1040 lakh tonnes.

If the weather doesn't improve in February and March, it seems likely that this season's production may fall short of the target.

The situation highlights how sensitive agriculture is to climate patterns, with even short-term changes in temperature having substantial impacts on crop yield and quality.