Irregular movement of monsoon
19-Jul-2025 12:13 PM
The movement of the southwest monsoon remains irregular this year as well, resulting in uneven rainfall distribution across the country. This has led to the possibility of significant damage to Kharif crops due to floods in some regions and drought in others.
July typically brings the highest rainfall of the season, and severe floods are not uncommon during this time. However, since June 16, monsoon activity has been concentrated in certain parts of the country, creating adverse conditions in those areas.
Historically, eastern and northeastern states received heavy rainfall while the northwestern parts often experienced drought. Cherrapunji in Meghalaya was known for maximum rainfall, and Jaisalmer in Rajasthan for the least.
This pattern is now changing. Currently, the eastern and northeastern states are facing rainfall deficiency, whereas several districts in Rajasthan—such as Kota, Baran, Bundi, and Ajmer—are grappling with flood conditions.
According to the Meteorological Department, torrential rains are expected to continue in many states during the rest of the month. A strong low-pressure area is developing over the Bay of Bengal, a western disturbance remains active, and a depression is forming over the border of Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh. The monsoon has also regained momentum in South India. Over the next 10–12 days, heavy rainfall is likely in various parts of the country.
Regions that have already received heavy rains may see further damage to Kharif crops if the rainfall continues. Conversely, areas with low or deficient rainfall may benefit, as fresh showers could support Kharif crops and boost the pace of sowing.
The sowing of Kharif crops is proceeding normally and is expected to continue at a steady pace. So far, sowing has been completed in around 60% of the targeted area, based on the five-year average.
July and August are the peak months for sowing. While farmers are receiving support from timely rains in many areas, the irregular monsoon pattern poses challenges. It remains to be seen how this uneven rainfall will ultimately impact Kharif crop performance across the country.