Rise in Kalonji Prices: No Sign of a Downturn

New Delhi. Kalonji prices have once again started to rise, and market sentiment remains bullish. This is driven by low stock levels at production centers and concerns that sowing operations could be hampered by water shortages in these regions. Notably, *iGrain India* had predicted in its September 2nd issue that Kalonji prices would reach ₹225 before Diwali; currently, prices in the Neemuch market have already touched ₹227. Given the current situation, it is anticipated that prices could cross the ₹250 mark during December and January.

Due to low arrivals at production centers and rising spot demand, Kalonji prices have increased by ₹7–8 per kg this week. Prices are now being quoted at ₹218–220 in Gujarat’s Gondal and Rajkot markets, while in Madhya Pradesh’s Neemuch market, they stand at ₹225–227. Arrivals in the Neemuch market are currently running at 400–500 bags. Sources indicate that arrivals will remain low due to depleted stocks. Furthermore, existing stocks are held by strong hands and will only enter the market if prices rise further. Although national Kalonji production was high during the current season, prices had reached ₹250–260 in February—prior to the arrival of the new crop.

Production

Sowing of Kalonji is set to begin this month in key producing states like Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, and Rajasthan. However, due to a lack of rainfall, the sown area is likely to be lower compared to the previous year. During the current season, production centers witnessed a record yield of Kalonji (black cumin), with output rising to the level of 6–6.25 lakh bags, compared to 3–3.25 lakh bags in 2025. Production stood at 2.50–2.75 lakh bags in 2024 and 3.50–3.75 lakh bags in 2023. Arrivals of the new Kalonji crop are expected to begin in March–April.

No Major Downturn Expected

Trade sources anticipate a rise of ₹20–25 per kg in Kalonji prices in the coming days. This expectation is driven by dwindling stocks at production centers and projections of reduced sowing, coupled with anticipated demand growth due to the upcoming festive season. Furthermore, stock levels in the markets of production centers are low; currently, Kalonji stocks in Gujarat's markets are estimated at 1–1.25 lakh bags, while stocks in Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh are estimated at 40,000–50,000 bags—quantities expected to be exhausted before the new crop arrives. Notably, Kalonji stocks at the time of the new crop harvest were estimated at 5,000–6,000 bags in 2026 and 30,000–35,000 bags in 2025. Sources state that by the time the new crop arrives in 2027, stocks will be depleted and production will be impacted, leading to higher Kalonji prices in 2027.