USDA estimates next wheat production in Australia to be 31 million tonnes
14-May-2025 12:22 PM
Washington. Wheat sowing is in full swing in Australia, with weather conditions remaining largely favorable in major producing regions. In its new monthly report, the US Department of Agriculture (USDA) has projected Australia's wheat production for the 2025–26 marketing season at 31 million tonnes.
Sowing began in the first week of April in the province of Western Australia, and crop conditions there are currently satisfactory after more than a month of growth.
However, dry weather continues to affect other key regions, particularly South Australia, Western Victoria, and the southern part of New South Wales. In these areas, wheat has been sown in dry fields, and rainfall is urgently needed to support seed germination and crop development.
According to the USDA’s monthly report, global wheat production is expected to reach a record 808.5 million tonnes in the 2025–26 season—an increase of 8.8 million tonnes over the estimated production of the 2024–25 season.
While production is expected to decline in Australia, Ukraine, and the United States, it is projected to rise in Russia, Canada, the European Union, and Argentina—all of which are major wheat exporters. France and Germany are the largest contributors to wheat exports from the EU.
Specifically, the USDA estimates wheat production to decrease in Australia from 34.1 million tonnes to 31 million tonnes, in the United States from 53.7 million tonnes to 52.3 million tonnes, and in Ukraine from 23.4 million tonnes to 23 million tonnes during the 2025–26 season.
On the other hand, production is expected to increase in Argentina from 18.5 million tonnes to 20 million tonnes, in Canada from 35 million tonnes to 36 million tonnes, in the European Union from 122.1 million tonnes to 136 million tonnes, and in Russia from 81.6 million tonnes to 83 million tonnes.
It is notable that China and India, despite being among the largest producers and consumers of wheat globally, are not included in this particular production outlook.