40% Probability of El Niño by July

05-Mar-2026 11:08 AM

40% Probability of El Niño by July
★ According to a major weather company, due to changing weather patterns and varying ocean temperatures, there is a 40% probability of El Niño developing by July.
★ La Niña weakened in mid-February, and the chances of La Niña continuing until May have dropped to around 30%.
★ El Niño may lead to lower rainfall, and several agencies have expressed concerns about below-normal rainfall in India during the upcoming crop season.