Agricultural production expected to improve if there is more than normal rainfall in July

02-Jul-2025 07:51 PM

New Delhi. India is expected to receive more than normal rainfall during the current month (July), which will help in the sowing and progress of Kharif crops and increase the chances of better agricultural production. This is also expected to contribute positively to the national economy.

According to the Director General of the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), there is a strong possibility that monsoon rainfall at the national level during July 2025 will be around 106 percent of the normal average.

It is also likely that actual rainfall could exceed this level. Based on rainfall data from 1971 to 2020, the normal average rainfall for July has been estimated at 280.4 mm, while this year’s actual rainfall may be 6–7 percent higher.

IMD has also stated that the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean are currently neutral.

Forecasts from the Monsoon Mission Climate Forecast System and other models suggest that these neutral conditions are likely to continue throughout the monsoon season, which will support favourable rainfall across India.

July is typically the rainiest month of the year in India and is critical for Kharif sowing. If rainfall remains good, it significantly boosts the prospects for increased agricultural production.

August is also an important month for crop development, and IMD has indicated the possibility of favourable rainfall continuing into August as well.

Currently, the cultivation of paddy, pulses, oilseeds, coarse grains and cotton is progressing across the country. In areas receiving normal monsoon rainfall, sowing activities are moving at a fast pace.

However, in regions experiencing excessive or deficient rainfall, farmers are facing challenges. In high rainfall areas, only paddy cultivation is feasible, while in low rainfall regions, there may be risks involved in sowing other Kharif crops.