Effect of pests on sugarcane crop, possible impact on sugar availability

06-Dec-2024 10:06 AM

Effect of pests on sugarcane crop, possible impact on sugar availability
The pest attacks on sugarcane crops in major producing states like Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra, and Karnataka are likely to have significant effects on sugarcane production, sugar availability, and ethanol production during the 2024-25 season.
Impact on Sugarcane Production:
Overall Decline: Sugarcane production is expected to fall below 4,400 lakh tonnes, a 3% decrease compared to the previous year.
Regional Effects:
Uttar Pradesh: Western districts, particularly the Moradabad division, are the worst affected by pests such as red rot and top borer.
Maharashtra: Attacks by white grub pests have reduced yields by 10-15 tonnes per hectare in some areas.
Karnataka: White grub infestations are expected to decrease production from 5.65 crore tonnes to 5 crore tonnes in affected districts.
Overall Production Decline: An estimated 10-15% reduction in production due to pest infestations.
Impact on Sugar Production:
Sugar production is expected to decline from 340.64 lakh tonnes in 2023-24 to 333 lakh tonnes, further constrained by pests and reduced sugarcane availability.
Ethanol Production and Diversion:
Approximately 40 lakh tonnes of sugarcane is estimated to be diverted for ethanol production, which will reduce the sugar supply further.
Domestic Sugar Availability:
Despite the reduction in production, the government believes domestic demand will be met due to:
Sufficient stock from the previous season.
Estimated demand management with strategic sugar reserves.
Possible Implications:
Price Fluctuations:
Reduced supply may lead to price increases for sugar in the domestic market, especially if exports are not curtailed.
Ethanol Program Impact:
The push for ethanol blending may face challenges due to reduced sugarcane availability, potentially slowing down government targets for renewable energy initiatives.
Farmer Distress:
Pest attacks may exacerbate financial difficulties for farmers, particularly those heavily dependent on sugarcane for their livelihood.
Potential Mitigation Strategies:
Pest Control: Immediate implementation of pest management practices such as biological control and resistant crop varieties.
Support to Farmers: Providing subsidies or compensation to affected farmers.
Efficient Resource Allocation: Ensuring balanced sugar production and ethanol diversion to meet both domestic and industrial demands.
Timely intervention will be critical to minimize the broader economic and social impacts of reduced sugarcane production.