Good rainfall expected in central and northwestern India during 18–24 June

12-Jun-2025 06:07 PM

New Delhi. The US weather forecast agency has predicted that central and northwestern parts of India are likely to receive above-normal rainfall during the week of 18 to 24 June.

With extreme heat disrupting daily life, rain is eagerly awaited in several states including Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir, Ladakh, and Chandigarh.

Additionally, Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and Jharkhand are also in urgent need of rainfall. A severe heat wave continues to affect districts such as Ganganagar, Hanumangarh, and Bharatpur in Rajasthan.

The US agency has also forecast good rainfall over the southern part of northeastern India during the same period. However, a shift in rainfall patterns is expected during the week of 25 June to 1 July.

According to the agency, the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) wave, which usually plays a supportive role in enhancing rainfall, is likely to have minimal impact over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal in the coming two weeks. This suggests that the southwest monsoon may not receive its usual strong support in June.

As a result, the Indian monsoon may depend on support from western disturbances. These disturbances may first move southward and help generate a circulation over the Bay of Bengal, which could then trigger more widespread rainfall across India.

Meanwhile, the Myanmar Meteorological Department has indicated the possibility of a low-pressure area developing over the Andaman Sea and the adjoining Bay of Bengal within the next 10 days.

The Indian Meteorological Department is also not ruling out this possibility, and its data suggests that the low-pressure system may form near the Odisha coast next week.