India’s Rice Production Estimated to Hit Record 1,510 Lakh Tonnes

14-Jul-2025 04:22 PM

New Delhi: India is poised to achieve a new record in rice production, with output expected to reach 1,510 lakh tonnes, according to the latest July report from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). This estimate remains unchanged from the June forecast. The report highlights India’s strong rice production over recent years, accompanied by increasing domestic use and rising stock levels.

The USDA projects domestic rice consumption in India at 1,265 lakh tonnes, while exports are expected to reach an all-time high of 250 lakh tonnes. Despite this, India’s ending stock of rice is estimated to rise further to 445 lakh tonnes.

For the 2025–26 marketing season, global rice trade is projected to recover slightly and reach 6,180 lakh tonnes. Among major exporters, only Myanmar’s export estimate has been revised upward, while projections for India, Thailand, Vietnam, Pakistan, and the U.S. remain unchanged.

Meanwhile, global ending stocks of rice have been revised downward by 5 lakh tonnes, now estimated at 1,873 lakh tonnes, compared to 1,878 lakh tonnes in the June report. This decline is primarily attributed to stock reductions in China and Myanmar.

The total global rice availability, including carryover stocks, is unchanged at 7,289 lakh tonnes. However, global rice consumption has been revised upward by 6 lakh tonnes to a record 5,416 lakh tonnes, driven in part by increasing demand from China’s feed manufacturing industry.

In countries like the Philippines and Ghana, rice stocks are expected to remain somewhat higher. India is likely to continue its robust rice export performance in the coming months.