Risk of a 'Super El Niño' Emerges for the First Time Since 1950

01-Jul-2026 07:49 PM

Sydney. A report by the Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) indicates that a dangerous 'Super El Niño' is rapidly taking shape. This is evidenced by sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean rising significantly above standard El Niño levels and atmospheric conditions becoming conducive to its development.

Meteorologists state that this El Niño could prove to be the most powerful and severe weather cycle since 1950, potentially causing widespread, long-lasting disruption across many nations. Close monitoring is underway regarding the trajectory and intensity of this Super El Niño, which threatens to disrupt global weather and climate patterns.

According to an expert, sea surface temperatures have reached new highs. The El Niño phenomenon is already underway; Sea Surface Temperatures (SST) in the central tropical Pacific have risen above the baseline threshold for El Niño. As temperatures continue to climb, the phenomenon is intensifying, raising the likelihood that it will evolve into a 'Super El Niño.' This could emerge as the most powerful weather cycle seen in the last 76 years.

This Super El Niño is expected to have severe and widespread impacts on South Asia, Southeast Asia, the Far East, Australia, and Latin America, while other regions may experience relatively milder effects. India is among the countries likely to be significantly affected. Monsoon conditions in India remain erratic and uncertain, and a rainfall deficit has led to a substantial decline in the sowing of Kharif crops. Rainfall during the current month will determine the outlook for the Indian agricultural sector.