Higher wholesale market prices, an increase in the Minimum Support Price (MSP), guaranteed procurement, and adequate water reserves in dams and reservoirs are likely to encourage farmers to expand wheat acreage this season. However, agricultural experts warn that if kharif harvesting and rabi sowing are delayed, the wheat crop could face severe heat in February–March 2026, which may reduce yields.

It is noteworthy that the central government procures large volumes of wheat from farmers at MSP, while states like Madhya Pradesh and Rajasthan also provide additional bonuses to wheat growers. This is expected to further boost acreage. Due to heavy rainfall during the southwest monsoon, soil moisture levels are sufficient, which should aid sowing. In Punjab, Haryana, and Rajasthan, flood-affected fields filled with silt are still being cleared.

For the 2023–24 season, the MSP of wheat was fixed at ₹2,275 per quintal, which was raised by ₹150 to ₹2,425 per quintal for the 2024–25 rabi season. For the current 2025–26 rabi season, indications point toward another significant increase in MSP, which has already been approved by the Union Cabinet. Analysts believe that states such as Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, and Rajasthan have strong potential for expansion in wheat acreage this year.