La Nina weather cycle likely to develop by the end of the current month

02-Aug-2024 05:00 PM

New Delhi. The Director General of the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has said that at present the condition of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the equatorial Pacific region remains neutral and the Indian Monsoon Mission Climate Forecasting System indicates that the La Nina weather cycle may develop by the end of the current month (August).

It is considered favorable to the monsoon. Meanwhile, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) also remains in a neutral position and no change is expected in its condition and direction till the end of the monsoon season.

According to the IMD, during the first two months of the southwest monsoon i.e. June July 2024, a total of 453.8 mm of rainfall occurred at the all India level, which is 1.8 percent more than the normal level of 445.8 mm for this period.

There are indications of good rains in central and western states this time, while monsoon rains have also improved in South India.

If the activity of La Nino weather cycle increases in September, there may be more good monsoon rains.

According to agricultural experts, if there is normal rain in the month of August, soybean, cotton, groundnut and pulse crops may benefit in states like Maharashtra,

Madhya Pradesh and Gujarat, but if there is more than normal rain in September, there will be a possibility of damage to these crops. In Madhya Pradesh, soybean crop has already been damaged due to heavy rains in September.

Groundnut, cotton and castor are cultivated on a large scale in Saurashtra division of Gujarat, where there is a possibility of relatively less rain in September.

There may be more danger to crops in Maharashtra, Karnataka and Madhya Pradesh. There has been no surplus rain in northwestern India, but there may be in some places in the future.

There is also a need to keep a close eye on the crops there.