Monsoon withdrawal process likely to begin from September 19

15-Sep-2026 11:04 AM

New Delhi. The intensity and grip of the southwest monsoon have begun to wane in northwest India, and it may withdraw from the region within the next four to five days. The Meteorological Department states that conditions are becoming favorable for the monsoon's withdrawal from western Rajasthan, and the process is likely to commence around September 19. The usual date for the onset of monsoon withdrawal is considered to be September 17.

However, this withdrawal will not be entirely dry; rainfall is possible during the retreating phase of the monsoon. A rain-bearing low-pressure area has formed over southeastern Rajasthan and adjacent northern Gujarat, capable of sustaining high moisture levels in the atmosphere. Consequently, heavy rainfall may occur in the region, providing significant relief to Kharif crops.

According to the Meteorological Department, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, and western Madhya Pradesh witnessed rainfall ranging from normal to extremely heavy yesterday. These regions also fall along the monsoon's withdrawal path. Nationally, the deficit in monsoon rainfall compared to the long-term average has risen to 15 percent. This deficit is particularly pronounced in South India, where rainfall has been up to 28 percent below normal in some areas. Good rainfall is expected in several parts of the country as the monsoon begins to withdraw.

As the monsoon moves from western Rajasthan through central India towards the southern peninsula, heavy rainfall is anticipated at various points along its path. Rainfall has been significantly lower than the long-term average, particularly in the southern peninsula and the eastern and northeastern states.