Estimated decline in lentil sowing area and production in Canada
22-Mar-2025 12:27 PM
📉 Decline in Lentil Sowing & Production in Canada 🌱
🇨🇦 Canada’s 2025-26 Lentil Forecast
Sowing area to decline: 🔽 17.69 lakh hectares
Production to decrease: 🔽 23.30 lakh tonnes
Lower yield rate expected
Total availability to rise due to high surplus stock: 🔼 28.74 lakh tonnes
🌍 Export & Market Impact
Projected exports: 21 lakh tonnes
Top buyers: 🇮🇳 India, 🇹🇷 Turkey, 🇦🇪 UAE
August 2024 – January 2025 exports: 🔼 11.20 lakh tonnes (+25% YoY)
Challenges ahead:
🔹 India’s 11% import duty
🔹 Turkey’s new crop arriving (June-July 2025)
🔹 US export challenges
📉 Price & Stock Outlook
Surplus stock may rise: 🔼 3.40 lakh tonnes
Global supply to improve → Average price expected to fall: 🔽 $835/tonne
Saskatchewan price drop (Feb 2025):
✅ Green lentils: -$45/tonne
✅ Red lentils: -$15/tonne
📌 Conclusion: Despite production decline, surplus stock & global supply stability will keep lentil prices lower! 📊