Estimated 40% Decline in Dried Fig Production in Afghanistan

23-Jun-2026 10:15 AM

Kandahar: Due to unfavorable weather conditions and the severe impact of natural disasters, nearly 40% of Afghanistan’s fig crop is expected to be damaged or destroyed. This could create a significant imbalance between demand and supply in the Indian dry-fruit market and may lead to higher prices during the festive season.

Afghanistan is expected to export more than 1,300 containers of dried figs to India during the current year. However, exports may fall to below 800 containers next year. This substantial decline is likely to reduce availability in India. In fact, not only is fig production expected to decrease, but the quality of the produce may also deteriorate. As a result, there could be a shortage of high-quality dried figs, leading to higher prices in Afghanistan. Consequently, the cost of importing dried figs into India may increase.

There is a possibility of a sharp decline in dried fig stocks before the peak seasonal buying period, which could make the supply situation for premium-grade products particularly challenging. Efforts may be made to increase imports in order to strengthen stock positions, leading to greater competition among importers. Meanwhile, availability in India’s wholesale and retail markets is expected to continue shrinking. The market may witness significant price volatility. Buyers may rush to secure import contracts for high-grade dried figs.

According to a leading analyst, importers and traders of dried figs should remain patient and composed rather than panic or become overly concerned. They should also pay attention to alternative sources of supply.